🔭Data Science: Lying with Statistics (Just the Quotes)

"Thus the alteration of the truth which is already manifesting itself in the progressive form of lying and perjury, offers us, in the superlative, the statistics." (François Magendie, 18th century) 

"An old jest runs to the effect that there are three degrees of comparison among liars. There are liars, there are outrageous liars, and there are scientific experts. This has lately been adapted to throw dirt upon statistics. There are three degrees of comparison, it is said, in lying. There are lies, there are outrageous lies, and there are statistics." (Robert Giffen, Economic Journal 2 (6), 1892)

"Professor [Joseph] Munro reminded him of an old saying which he rather reluctantly proposed, in that company, to repeat. It was to the effect that there were three gradations of inveracity - there were lies, there were d-d lies, and there were statistics." (Arthur J Balfour, [in Manchester Guardian] 1892)

"Columns of figures are hurled about in the papers, and demonstrate the justice of the witty claim that there are three kinds of untruth : fibs, lies, and statistics." (Herbert B Workman, "The principles of the Gothenburg system", Wesleyan-Methodist Magazine 118, 1895)

"After all, facts are facts, and although we may quote one to another with a chuckle the words of the Wise Statesman, 'Lies - damn lies - and statistics', still there are some easy figures the simplest must understand, and the astutest cannot wriggle out of." (Leonard H. Courtney, [speech] 1895)

"There are three kinds of lies - lies, damned lies and statistics." (Carroll D Wright, New York Times, 1896) 

"Figures often beguile me, particularly when I have the arranging of them myself; in which case the remark attributed to Disraeli would often apply with justice and force: “There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics." (Mark Twain, [in "Mark Twain’s Autobiography" Vol I, 1904])

"Figures may not lie, but statistics compiled unscientifically and analyzed incompetently are almost sure to be misleading, and when this condition is unnecessarily chronic the so-called statisticians may be called liars." (Edwin B Wilson, "Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society", Vol 18, 1912)

"In earlier times they had no statistics and so they had to fall back on lies. Hence the huge exaggerations of primitive literature, giants, miracles, wonders! It's the size that counts. They did it with lies and we do it with statistics: but it's all the same." (Stephen Leacock, "Model memoirs and other sketches from simple to serious", 1939)

"It has long been recognized by public men of all kinds […] that statistics come under the head of lying, and that no lie is so false or inconclusive as that which is based on statistics." (Hilaire Belloc, "The Silence of the Sea", 1940)

"Many people use statistics as a drunkard uses a street lamp - for support rather than illumination. It is not enough to avoid outright falsehood; one must be on the alert to detect possible distortion of truth. One can hardly pick up a newspaper without seeing some sensational headline based on scanty or doubtful data." (Anna C Rogers, "Graphic Charts Handbook", 1961)

"Just like the spoken or written word, statistics and graphs can lie. They can lie by not telling the full story. They can lead to wrong conclusions by omitting some of the important facts. [...] Always look at statistics with a critical eye, and you will not be the victim of misleading information." (Dyno Lowenstein, "Graphs", 1976)

"For many people the first word that comes to mind when they think about statistical charts is 'lie'. No doubt some graphics do distort the underlying data, making it hard for the viewer to learn the truth. But data graphics are no different from words in this regard, for any means of communication can be used to deceive. There is no reason to believe that graphics are especially vulnerable to exploitation by liars; in fact, most of us have pretty good graphical lie detectors that help us see right through frauds." (Edward R Tufte, "The Visual Display of Quantitative Information", 1983)

"The conditions under which many data graphics are produced - the lack of substantive and quantitative skills of the illustrators, dislike of quantitative evidence, and contempt for the intelligence of the audience-guarantee graphic mediocrity. These conditions engender graphics that (1) lie; (2) employ only the simplest designs, often unstandardized time-series based on a small handful of data points; and (3) miss the real news actually in the data." (Edward R Tufte, "The Visual Display of Quantitative Information", 1983)

"Fairy tales lie just as much as statistics do, but sometimes you can find a grain of truth in them." (Sergei Lukyanenko, "The Night Watch", 1998)

"While some social problems statistics are deliberate deceptions, many - probably the great majority - of bad statistics are the result of confusion, incompetence, innumeracy, or selective, self-righteous efforts to produce numbers that reaffirm principles and interests that their advocates consider just and right. The best response to stat wars is not to try and guess who's lying or, worse, simply to assume that the people we disagree with are the ones telling lies. Rather, we need to watch for the standard causes of bad statistics - guessing, questionable definitions or methods, mutant numbers, and inappropriate comparisons." (Joel Best, "Damned Lies and Statistics: Untangling Numbers from the Media, Politicians, and Activists", 2001)

"Believe it or not, it’s easy to make statistics lie. It’s called massaging the facts, and people do it all the time. […] To avoid this, graphics reporters should develop a keen eye for spotting problems with statistics in order to avoid the embarrassment and possible liability of reporting incorrect information." (Jennifer George-Palilonis," A Practical Guide to Graphics Reporting: Information Graphics for Print, Web & Broadcast", 2006)

"Another way to obscure the truth is to hide it with relative numbers. […] Relative scales are always given as percentages or proportions. An increase or decrease of a given percentage only tells us part of the story, however. We are missing the anchoring of absolute values." (Brian Suda, "A Practical Guide to Designing with Data", 2010)

"One way a chart can lie is through overemphasis of the size and scale of items, particularly when the dimension of depth isnʼt considered." (Brian Suda, "A Practical Guide to Designing with Data", 2010)

"I believe that the backlash against statistics is due to four primary reasons. The first, and easiest for most people to relate to, is that even the most basic concepts of descriptive and inferential statistics can be difficult to grasp and even harder to explain. […] The second cause for vitriol is that even well-intentioned experts misapply the tools and techniques of statistics far too often, myself included. Statistical pitfalls are numerous and tough to avoid. When we can't trust the experts to get it right, there's a temptation to throw the baby out with the bathwater. The third reason behind all the hate is that those with an agenda can easily craft statistics to lie when they communicate with us  […] And finally, the fourth cause is that often statistics can be perceived as cold and detached, and they can fail to communicate the human element of an issue." (Ben Jones, "Avoiding Data Pitfalls: How to Steer Clear of Common Blunders When Working with Data and Presenting Analysis and Visualizations", 2020)

"It is easy to lie with statistics. It is hard to tell the truth without it." (Andrejs Dunkels)