Showing posts with label figures. Show all posts
Showing posts with label figures. Show all posts

28 December 2011

📉Graphical Representation: Figures (Just the Quotes)

"Information that is imperfectly acquired, is generally as imperfectly retained; and a man who has carefully investigated a printed table, finds, when done, that he has only a very faint and partial idea of what he has read; and that like a figure imprinted on sand, is soon totally erased and defaced." (William Playfair, "The Commercial and Political Atlas", 1786)

"When a law is contained in figures, it is buried like metal in an ore; it is necessary to extract it. This is the work of graphical representation. It points out the coincidences, the relationships between phenomena, their anomalies, and we have seen what a powerful means of control it puts in the hands of the statistician to verify new data, discover and correct errors with which they have been stained." (Emile Cheysson, "Les methods de la statistique", 1890)

"The graphical method has considerable superiority for the exposition of statistical facts over the tabular. A heavy bank of figures is grievously wearisome to the eye, and the popular mind is as incapable of drawing any useful lessons from it as of extracting sunbeams from cucumbers." (Arthur B Farquhar & Henry Farquhar, "Economic and Industrial Delusions", 1891)

"The visible figures by which principles are illustrated should, so far as possible, have no accessories. They should be magnitudes pure and simple, so that the thought of the pupil may not be distracted, and that he may know what features of the thing represented he is to pay attention to." (National Education Association, 1894)

"By [diagrams] it is possible to present at a glance all the facts which could be obtained from figures as to the increase, fluctuations, and relative importance of prices, quantities, and values of different classes of goods and trade with various countries; while the sharp irregularities of the curves give emphasis to the disturbing causes which produce any striking change." (Arthur L Bowley, "A Short Account of England's Foreign Trade in the Nineteenth Century, its Economic and Social Results", 1905)

"Graphical statistics can be defined as: 'the expression of statistical facts by means of geometric processes' (Levasseur). Its general usefulness consists of replacing figures which, by their multiplicity, confuse memory, with a figure whose general appearance can be discovered all at once and, by speaking to the eyes, is more easily engraved in the memory." (Armand Julin, "Summary for a Course of Statistics, General and Applied", 1910)

"The essential quality of graphic representations is clarity. If the diagram fails to give a clearer impression than the tables of figures it replaces, it is useless. To this end, we will avoid complicating the diagram by including too much data." (Armand Julin, "Summary for a Course of Statistics, General and Applied", 1910)

"Judgment must be used in the showing of figures in any chart or numerical presentation, so that the figures may not give an appearance of greater accuracy than their method of collection would warrant. Too many otherwise excellent reports contain figures which give the impression of great accuracy when in reality the figures may be only the crudest approximations. Except in financial statements, it is a safe rule to use ciphers whenever possible at the right of all numbers of great size. The use of the ciphers greatly simplifies the grasping of the figures by the reader, and, at the same time, it helps to avoid the impression of an accuracy which is not warranted by the methods of collecting the data." (Willard C Brinton, "Graphic Methods for Presenting Facts", 1919) 

"Nothing is so illuminating as a set of properly proportioned diagrams. [...] In addition to the significance of graphics in analytical work, it is likewise a valuable aid to the memory. A picture is manifestly more readily retained in mind than a description of the same subject, no matter how vividly it may have been expressed. A pictorial or diagrammatic illustration usually produces a firmer and more lasting impression than any composition of words or tabulation of figures, however well they may be arranged or set forth." (Allan C Haskell, "How to Make and Use Graphic Charts", 1919)

"Graphical methods comprise all those methods of representing the relations of objects or facts by means of the relations between the lines of a diagram. All devices for representing by geometrical figures the numerical data which result from the quantitative investigation of phenomena are included under this title." (William C Marshall, "Graphical methods for schools, colleges, statisticians, engineers and executives", 1921)

"Percentages offer a fertile field for confusion. And like the ever-impressive decimal they can lend an aura of precision to the inexact. […] Any percentage figure based on a small number of cases is likely to be misleading. It is more informative to give the figure itself. And when the percentage is carried out to decimal places, you begin to run the scale from the silly to the fraudulent." (Darell Huff, "How to Lie with Statistics", 1954)

"The precision of a number is the degree of exactness with which it is stated, while the accuracy of a number is the degree of exactness with which it is known or observed. The precision of a quantity is reported by the number of significant figures in it." (Edmund C Berkeley & Lawrence Wainwright, Computers: Their Operation and Applications", 1956)

"A drawing can show a true picture of both the situation as a whole and its separate components at a glance, and do the job better than could figures or the spoken word. In its essence, a chart is a medium of communication conveying a thought, an idea, a situation from one mind to another and not a work of art or a statistical table. The simpler, the more direct it is, the better it will perform that service which is its sole function." (Anna C Rogers, "Graphic Charts Handbook", 1961)

"Indeed the language of statistics is rarely as objective as we imagine. The way statistics are presented, their arrangement in a particular way in tables, the juxtaposition of sets of figures, in itself reflects the judgment of the author about what is significant and what is trivial in the situation which the statistics portray." (Ely Devons, "Essays in Economics", 1961)

"The art of using the language of figures correctly is not to be over-impressed by the apparent air of accuracy, and yet to be able to take account of error and inaccuracy in such a way as to know when, and when not, to use the figures. This is a matter of skill, judgment, and experience, and there are no rules and short cuts in acquiring this expertness." (Ely Devons, "Essays in Economics", 1961)

"Tables are [...] the backbone of most statistical reports. They provide the basic substance and foundation on which conclusions can be based. They are considered valuable for the following reasons: (1) Clarity - they present many items of data in an orderly and organized way. (2) Comprehension - they make it possible to compare many figures quickly. (3) Explicitness - they provide actual numbers which document data presented in accompanying text and charts. (4) Economy - they save space, and words. (5) Convenience - they offer easy and rapid access to desired items of information." (Peter H Selby, "Interpreting Graphs and Tables", 1976)

"We need [graphic] techniques because figures do not speak for them. selves. Numbers alone seldom make a convincing case or polish their author's image - the twin goals of that other great mind bender, rhetoric. While rhetoric deals in qualitative argument, its quantitative equivalent is graphics. As rhetoric has declined in popularity, so graphics have risen along with our acceptance of quantitative arguments. In graphics, figures finally find their own means of expression." (Nicholas Strange, "Smoke and Mirrors: How to bend facts and figures to your advantage", 2007)

"Exploratory analysis is what you do to understand the data and figure out what might be noteworthy or interesting to highlight to others." (Cole N Knaflic, "Storytelling with Data: A Data Visualization Guide for Business Professionals", 2015)

23 April 2006

🖍️Michael J Moroney - Collected Quotes

"A good estimator will be unbiased and will converge more and more closely (in the long run) on the true value as the sample size increases. Such estimators are known as consistent. But consistency is not all we can ask of an estimator. In estimating the central tendency of a distribution, we are not confined to using the arithmetic mean; we might just as well use the median. Given a choice of possible estimators, all consistent in the sense just defined, we can see whether there is anything which recommends the choice of one rather than another. The thing which at once suggests itself is the sampling variance of the different estimators, since an estimator with a small sampling variance will be less likely to differ from the true value by a large amount than an estimator whose sampling variance is large." (Michael J Moroney, "Facts from Figures", 1951)

"A piece of self-deception - often dear to the heart of apprentice scientists - is the drawing of a 'smooth curve' (how attractive it sounds!) through a set of points which have about as much trend as the currants in plum duff. Once this is done, the mind, looking for order amidst chaos, follows the Jack-o'-lantern line with scant attention to the protesting shouts of the actual points. Nor, let it be whispered, is it unknown for people who should know better to rub off the offending points and publish the trend line which their foolish imagination has introduced on the flimsiest of evidence. Allied to this sin is that of overconfident extrapolation, i.e. extending the graph by guesswork beyond the range of factual information. Whenever extrapolation is attempted it should be carefully distinguished from the rest of the graph, e.g. by showing the extrapolation as a dotted line in contrast to the full line of the rest of the graph. [...] Extrapolation always calls for justification, sooner or later. Until this justification is forthcoming, it remains a provisional estimate, based on guesswork." (Michael J Moroney, "Facts from Figures", 1951)

"Data should be collected with a clear purpose in mind. Not only a clear purpose, but a clear idea as to the precise way in which they will be analysed so as to yield the desired information." (Michael J Moroney, "Facts from Figures", 1951)

"For the most part, Statistics is a method of investigation that is used when other methods are of no avail; it is often a last resort and a forlorn hope. A statistical analysis, properly conducted, is a delicate dissection of uncertainties, a surgery of suppositions. The surgeon must guard carefully against false incisions with his scalpel. Very often he has to sew up the patient as inoperable. The public knows too little about the statistician as a conscientious and skilled servant of true science." (Michael J Moroney, "Facts from Figures", 1951)

"It is really questionable - though bordering on heresy to put the question - whether we would be any the worse off if the whole bag of tricks were scrapped. So many of these index numbers are so ancient and so out of date, so out of touch with reality, so completely devoid of practical value when they have been computed, that their regular calculation must be regarded as a widespread compulsion neurosis. Only lunatics and public servants with no other choice go on doing silly things and liking it." (Michael J Moroney, "Facts from Figures", 1951)

"It pays to keep wide awake in studying any graph. The thing looks so simple, so frank, and so appealing that the careless are easily fooled. [...] Data and formulae should be given along with the graph, so that the interested reader may look at the details if he wishes." (Michael J Moroney, "Facts from Figures", 1951)

"It will, of course, happen but rarely that the proportions will be identical, even if no real association exists. Evidently, therefore, we need a significance test to reassure ourselves that the observed difference of proportion is greater than could reasonably be attributed to chance. The significance test will test the reality of the association, without telling us anything about the intensity of association. It will be apparent that we need two distinct things: (a) a test of significance, to be used on the data first of all, and (b) some measure of the intensity of the association, which we shall only be justified in using if the significance test confirms that the association is real." (Michael J Moroney, "Facts from Figures", 1951)

"Some distributions [...] are symmetrical about their central value. Other distributions have marked asymmetry and are said to be skew. Skew distributions are divided into two types. If the 'tail' of the distribution reaches out into the larger values of the variate, the distribution is said to show positive skewness; if the tail extends towards the smaller values of the variate, the distribution is called negatively skew." (Michael J Moroney, "Facts from Figures", 1951)

"The economists, of course, have great fun - and show remarkable skill - in inventing more refined index numbers. Sometimes they use geometric averages instead of arithmetic averages (the advantage here being that the geometric average is less upset by extreme oscillations in individual items), sometimes they use the harmonic average. But these are all refinements of the basic idea of the index number [...]" (Michael J Moroney, "Facts from Figures", 1951)

"The mode would form a very poor basis for any further calculations of an arithmetical nature, for it has deliberately excluded arithmetical precision in the interests of presenting a typical result. The arithmetic average, on the other hand, excellent as it is for numerical purposes, has sacrificed its desire to be typical in favour of numerical accuracy. In such a case it is often desirable to quote both measures of central tendency." (Michael J Moroney, "Facts from Figures", 1951)

"The statistician’s job is to draw general conclusions from fragmentary data. Too often the data supplied to him for analysis are not only fragmentary but positively incoherent, so that he can do next to nothing with them. Even the most kindly statistician swears heartily under his breath whenever this happens". (Michael J Moroney, "Facts from Figures", 1951)

"Undoubtedly one of the most elegant, powerful, and useful techniques in modern statistical method is that of the Analysis of Variation and Co-variation by which the total variation in a set of data may be reduced to components associated with possible sources of variability whose relative importance we wish to assess. The precise form which any given analysis will take is intimately connected with the structure of the investigation from which the data are obtained. A simple structure will lead to a simple analysis; a complex structure to a complex analysis." (Michael J Moroney, "Facts from Figures", 1951)

"When the mathematician speaks of the existence of a 'functional relation' between two variable quantities, he means that they are connected by a simple 'formula that is to say, if we are told the value of one of the variable quantities we can find the value of the second quantity by substituting in the formula which tells us how they are related. [...] The thing to be clear about before we proceed further is that a functional relationship in mathematics means an exact and predictable relationship, with no ifs or buts about lt. It is useful in practice so long as the ifs and buts are only tiny voices which even the most ardent protagonist of proportional representation can ignore with a clear conscience." (Michael J Moroney, "Facts from Figures", 1951)

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