07 November 2011

Graphical Representation: Deception (Just the Quotes)

"The zero of the scale should appear on every chart, and should shown by a heavy line carried across the sheet. If this is not done the reader may assume the bottom of the sheet to be zero and so be misled. The scale should be graduated from zero to a little over the maximum figure to be plotted on the charts, so that there will be a space between the highest peak on the curve and the top of the chart." (Allan C Haskell, "How to Make and Use Graphic Charts", 1919)

"Under certain conditions, however, the ordinary form of graphic chart is slightly misleading. It will be conceded that its true function is to portray comparative fluctuations. This result is practically secured when the factors or quantities compared are nearly of the same value or volume, but analysis will show that this is not accomplished when the amounts compared differ greatly in value or volume. [...] The same criticism applies to charts which employ or more scales for various curve. If the different scale are in proper proportion, the result is the same as with one scale, but when two or more scales are used which are not proportional an indication may be given with respect to comparative fluctuations which is absolutely false." (Allan C Haskell, "How to Make and Use Graphic Charts", 1919)

"When plotting any curve the vertical scale should, if possible, be chosen so that the zero of the scale will appear on the chart. Otherwise, the reader may assume the bottom of the chart to be zero and so be grossly misled. Zero should always be indicated by a broad line much wider than the ordinary co-ordinate lines used for the background of the chart." (Willard C Brinton, "Graphic Methods for Presenting Facts", 1919)

"Admittedly a chart is primarily a picture, and for presentation purposes should be treated as such; but in most charts it is desirable to be able to read the approximate magnitudes by reference to the scales. Such reference is almost out of the question without some rulings to guide the eye. Second, the picture itself may be misleading without enough rulings to keep the eye 'honest'. Although sight is the most reliable of our senses for measuring (and most other) purposes, the unaided eye is easily deceived; and there are numerous optical illusions to prove it. A third reason, not vital, but still of some importance, is that charts without rulings may appear weak and empty and may lack the structural unity desirable in any illustration." (Kenneth W Haemer, "Hold That Line. A Plea for the Preservation of Chart Scale Ruling", The American Statistician Vol. 1 (1) 1947)

"[….] double-scale charts are likely to be misleading unless the two zero values coincide (either on or off the chart). To insure an accurate comparison of growth the scale intervals should be so chosen that both curves meet at some point. This treatment produces the effect of percentage relatives or simple index numbers with the point of juncture serving as the base point. The principal advantage of this form of presentation is that it is a short-cut method of comparing the relative change of two or more series without computation. It is especially useful for bringing together series that either vary widely in magnitude or are measured in different units and hence cannot be compared conveniently on a chart having only one absolute-amount scale. In general, the double scale treatment should not be used for presenting growth comparisons to the general reader." (Kenneth W Haemer, "Double Scales Are Dangerous", The American Statistician Vol. 2 (3) , 1948)

"An important rule in the drafting of curve charts is that the amount scale should begin at zero. In comparisons of size the omission of the zero base, unless clearly indicated, is likely to give a misleading impression of the relative values and trend." (Rufus R Lutz, "Graphic Presentation Simplified", 1949)

"Percentages offer a fertile field for confusion. And like the ever-impressive decimal they can lend an aura of precision to the inexact. […] Any percentage figure based on a small number of cases is likely to be misleading. It is more informative to give the figure itself. And when the percentage is carried out to decimal places, you begin to run the scale from the silly to the fraudulent." (Darell Huff, "How to Lie with Statistics", 1954)

"Just like the spoken or written word, statistics and graphs can lie. They can lie by not telling the full story. They can lead to wrong conclusions by omitting some of the important facts. [...] Always look at statistics with a critical eye, and you will not be the victim of misleading information." (Dyno Lowenstein, "Graphs", 1976)

"Probably one of the most common misuses (intentional or otherwise) of a graph is the choice of the wrong scale - wrong, that is, from the standpoint of accurate representation of the facts. Even though not deliberate, selection of a scale that magnifies or reduces - even distorts - the appearance of a curve can mislead the viewer." (Peter H Selby, "Interpreting Graphs and Tables", 1976)

"For many people the first word that comes to mind when they think about statistical charts is 'lie'. No doubt some graphics do distort the underlying data, making it hard for the viewer to learn the truth. But data graphics are no different from words in this regard, for any means of communication can be used to deceive. There is no reason to believe that graphics are especially vulnerable to exploitation by liars; in fact, most of us have pretty good graphical lie detectors that help us see right through frauds." (Edward R Tufte, "The Visual Display of Quantitative Information", 1983)

"Graphs are used to meet the need to condense all the available information into a more usable quantity. The selection process of combining and condensing will inevitably produce a less than complete study and will lead the user in certain directions, producing a potential for misleading." (Anker V Andersen, "Graphing Financial Information: How accountants can use graphs to communicate", 1983)

"Reliability is highly valued by accountants and has been defined as 'the faithfulness with which it (information) represents what it purports to represent'. The reason reliability is so important is that an essential characteristic of an accounting report is its acceptance, and if a report is considered to be misleading or superfluous, it and future reports will be disregarded." (Anker V Andersen, "Graphing Financial Information: How accountants can use graphs to communicate", 1983)

"There are two kinds of misrepresentation. In one. the numerical data do not agree with the data in the graph, or certain relevant data are omitted. This kind of misleading presentation. while perhaps hard to determine, clearly is wrong and can be avoided. In the second kind of misrepresentation, the meaning of the data is different to the preparer and to the user." (Anker V Andersen, "Graphing Financial Information: How accountants can use graphs to communicate", 1983)

"The bar of a bar chart has two aspects that can be used to visually decode quantitative information-size (length and area) and the relative position of the end of the bar along the common scale. The changing sizes of the bars is an important and imposing visual factor; thus it is important that size encode something meaningful. The sizes of bars encode the magnitudes of deviations from the baseline. If the deviations have no important interpretation, the changing sizes are wasted energy and even have the potential to mislead." (William S. Cleveland, "Graphical Methods for Data Presentation: Full Scale Breaks, Dot Charts, and Multibased Logging", The American Statistician Vol. 38 (4) 1984) 

"The rule is that a graph of a change in a variable with time should always have a vertical scale that starts with zero. Otherwise, it is inherently misleading." (Douglas A Downing & Jeffrey Clark, "Forgotten Statistics: A Self-Teaching Refresher Course", 1996)

"Displaying numerical information always involves selection. The process of selection needs to be described so that the reader will not be misled." (Gerald van Belle, "Statistical Rules of Thumb", 2002)

"Averages, ranges, and histograms all obscure the time-order for the data. If the time-order for the data shows some sort of definite pattern, then the obscuring of this pattern by the use of averages, ranges, or histograms can mislead the user. Since all data occur in time, virtually all data will have a time-order. In some cases this time-order is the essential context which must be preserved in the presentation." (Donald J Wheeler," Understanding Variation: The Key to Managing Chaos" 2nd Ed., 2000)

"[...] when data is presented in certain ways, the patterns can be readily perceived. If we can understand how perception works, our knowledge can be translated into rules for displaying information. Following perception‐based rules, we can present our data in such a way that the important and informative patterns stand out. If we disobey the rules, our data will be incomprehensible or misleading." (Colin Ware, "Information Visualization: Perception for Design" 2nd Ed., 2004)

"Comparing series visually can be misleading […]. Local variation is hidden when scaling the trends. We first need to make the series stationary (removing trend and/or seasonal components and/or differences in variability) and then compare changes over time. To do this, we log the series (to equalize variability) and difference each of them by subtracting last year’s value from this year’s value." (Leland Wilkinson, "The Grammar of Graphics" 2nd Ed., 2005)

"Arbitrary category sequence and misplaced pie chart emphasis lead to general confusion and weaken messages. Although this can be used for quite deliberate and targeted deceit, manipulation of the category axis only really comes into its own with techniques that bend the relationship between the data and the optics in a more calculated way. Many of these techniques are just twins of similar ruses on the value axis. but are none the less powerful for that." (Nicholas Strange, "Smoke and Mirrors: How to bend facts and figures to your advantage", 2007)

"If you want to hide data, try putting it into a larger group and then use the average of the group for the chart. The basis of the deceit is the endearingly innocent assumption on the part of your readers that you have been scrupulous in using a representative average: one from which individual values do not deviate all that much. In scientific or statistical circles, where audiences tend to take less on trust, the 'quality' of the average (in terms of the scatter of the underlying individual figures) is described by the standard deviation, although this figure is itself an average." (Nicholas Strange, "Smoke and Mirrors: How to bend facts and figures to your advantage", 2007)

"The donut, its spelling betrays its origins, is nearly always more deceit friendly than the pie, despite being modelled on a life-saving ring. This is because the hole destroys the second most important value- defining element, by hiding the slice angles in the middle." (Nicholas Strange, "Smoke and Mirrors: How to bend facts and figures to your advantage", 2007)

"There are some chart types that occasionally appear in print but are so bad that they serve neither honesty nor deceit. Among these monuments to human ingenuity at the expense of common sense are the concentric donut and overlapping segments. The concentric donut is really just a bar or column chart bent back on itself to save space. However as anyone who has ever watched a two or four hundred metre race will know, to make sense of the order of arrival at the tape you have to stagger the start to take account of the bend in the track. Blithely ignoring this problem, the concentric donut uses to diminish the difference between the inner and the outer absolute values by anything up to 2.5 times." (Nicholas Strange, "Smoke and Mirrors: How to bend facts and figures to your advantage", 2007)

"[…] a graph is nothing but a visual metaphor. To be truthful, it must correspond closely to the phenomena it depicts: longer bars or bigger pie slices must correspond to more, a rising line must correspond to an increasing amount. If a graphical depiction of data does not faithfully follow this principle, it is almost sure to be misleading. But the metaphoric attachment of a graphic goes farther than this. The character of the depiction ism a necessary and sufficient condition for the character of the data. When the data change, so too must their depiction; but when the depiction changes very little, we assume that the data, likewise, are relatively unchanging. If this convention is not followed, we are usually misled." (Howard Wainer, "Graphic Discovery: A trout in the milk and other visuals" 2nd, 2008)

"Good graphic design is not a panacea for bad copy, poor layout or misleading statistics. If any one of these facets are feebly executed it reflects poorly on the work overall, and this includes bad graphs and charts." (Brian Suda, "A Practical Guide to Designing with Data", 2010)

"It is tempting to make charts more engaging by introducing fancy graphics or three dimensions so they leap of f the page, but doing so obscures the real data and misleads people, intentionally or not." (Brian Suda, "A Practical Guide to Designing with Data", 2010)

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