26 December 2018

Data Science: Weights (Just the Quotes)

"In many cases general probability samples can be thought of in terms of (1) a subdivision of the population into strata, (2) a self-weighting probability sample in each stratum, and (3) combination of the stratum sample means weighted by the size of the stratum." (Frederick Mosteller et al, "Principles of Sampling", Journal of the American Statistical Association Vol. 49 (265), 1954)

"Averaging results, whether weighted or not, needs to be done with due caution and commonsense. Even though a measurement has a small quoted error it can still be, not to put too fine a point on it, wrong. If two results are in blatant and obvious disagreement, any average is meaningless and there is no point in performing it. Other cases may be less outrageous, and it may not be clear whether the difference is due to incompatibility or just unlucky chance." (Roger J Barlow, "Statistics: A guide to the use of statistical methods in the physical sciences", 1989)

"An artificial neural network is an information-processing system that has certain performance characteristics in common with biological neural networks. Artificial neural networks have been developed as generalizations of mathematical models of human cognition or neural biology, based on the assumptions that: (1) Information processing occurs at many simple elements called neurons. (2) Signals are passed between neurons over connection links. (3) Each connection link has an associated weight, which, in a typical neural net, multiplies the signal transmitted. (4) Each neuron applies an activation function (usually nonlinear) to its net input (sum of weighted input signals) to determine its output signal." (Laurene Fausett, "Fundamentals of Neural Networks", 1994)

"A neural network is characterized by (1) its pattern of connections between the neurons (called its architecture), (2) its method of determining the weights on the connections (called its training, or learning, algorithm), and (3) its activation function." (Laurene Fausett, "Fundamentals of Neural Networks", 1994)

"A neural network training method based on presenting input vector x and looking at the output vector calculated by the network. If it is considered 'good', then a 'reward' is given to the network in the sense that the existing connection weights get increased, otherwise the network is "punished"; the connection weights, being considered as 'not appropriately set,' decrease." (Nikola K Kasabov, "Foundations of Neural Networks, Fuzzy Systems, and Knowledge Engineering", 1996)

"More than just a new computing architecture, neural networks offer a completely different paradigm for solving problems with computers. […] The process of learning in neural networks is to use feedback to adjust internal connections, which in turn affect the output or answer produced. The neural processing element combines all of the inputs to it and produces an output, which is essentially a measure of the match between the input pattern and its connection weights. When hundreds of these neural processors are combined, we have the ability to solve difficult problems such as credit scoring." (Joseph P Bigus,"Data Mining with Neural Networks: Solving business problems from application development to decision support", 1996)

"When training a neural network, it is important to understand when to stop. […] If the same training patterns or examples are given to the neural network over and over, and the weights are adjusted to match the desired outputs, we are essentially telling the network to memorize the patterns, rather than to extract the essence of the relationships. What happens is that the neural network performs extremely well on the training data. However, when it is presented with patterns it hasn't seen before, it cannot generalize and does not perform well. What is the problem? It is called overtraining." (Joseph P Bigus,"Data Mining with Neural Networks: Solving business problems from application development to decision support", 1996)

"For linear dependences the main information usually lies in the slope. It is obvious that those points that lie far apart have the strongest influence on the slope if all points have the same uncertainty. In this context we speak of the strong leverage of distant points; when determining the parameter 'slope' these distant points carry more effective weight. Naturally, this weight is distinct from the 'statistical' weight usually used in regression analysis." (Manfred Drosg, "Dealing with Uncertainties: A Guide to Error Analysis", 2007)

"Generally, these programs fall within the techniques of reinforcement learning and the majority use an algorithm of temporal difference learning. In essence, this computer learning paradigm approximates the future state of the system as a function of the present state. To reach that future state, it uses a neural network that changes the weight of its parameters as it learns." (Diego Rasskin-Gutman, "Chess Metaphors: Artificial Intelligence and the Human Mind", 2009)

"Neural networks can model very complex patterns and decision boundaries in the data and, as such, are very powerful. In fact, they are so powerful that they can even model the noise in the training data, which is something that definitely should be avoided. One way to avoid this overfitting is by using a validation set in a similar way as with decision trees.[...] Another scheme to prevent a neural network from overfitting is weight regularization, whereby the idea is to keep the weights small in absolute sense because otherwise they may be fitting the noise in the data. This is then implemented by adding a weight size term (e.g., Euclidean norm) to the objective function of the neural network." (Bart Baesens, "Analytics in a Big Data World: The Essential Guide to Data Science and Its Applications", 2014)

"Keep in mind that a weighted average may be different than a simple (non- weighted) average because a weighted average - by definition - counts certain data points more heavily. When you’re thinking about an average, try to determine if it’s a simple average or a weighted average. If it’s weighted, ask yourself how it’s being weighted, and see which data points count more than others." (John H Johnson & Mike Gluck, "Everydata: The misinformation hidden in the little data you consume every day", 2016)

"Boosting is a non-linear flexible regression technique that helps increase the accuracy of trees by assigning more weights to wrong predictions. The reason for inducing more weight is so the model can emphasize more on these wrongly predicted samples and tune itself to increase accuracy. The gradient boosting method solves the inherent problem in boosting trees (i.e., low speed and human interpretability). The algorithm supports parallelism by specifying the number of threads." (Danish Haroon, "Python Machine Learning Case Studies", 2017)

"Early stopping and regularization can ensure network generalization when you apply them properly. [...] With early stopping, the choice of the validation set is also important. The validation set should be representative of all points in the training set. When you use Bayesian regularization, it is important to train the network until it reaches convergence. The sum-squared error, the sum-squared weights, and the effective number of parameters should reach constant values when the network has converged. With both early stopping and regularization, it is a good idea to train the network starting from several different initial conditions. It is possible for either method to fail in certain circumstances. By testing several different initial conditions, you can verify robust network performance." (Mark H Beale et al, "Neural Network Toolbox™ User's Guide", 2017)

"In Boosting, the selection of samples is done by giving more and more weight to hard-to-classify observations. Gradient boosting classification produces a prediction model in the form of an ensemble of weak predictive models, usually decision trees. It generalizes the model by optimizing for the arbitrary differentiable loss function. At each stage, regression trees fit on the negative gradient of binomial or multinomial deviance loss function." (Danish Haroon, "Python Machine Learning Case Studies", 2017)

"Deep neural networks have an input layer and an output layer. In between, are “hidden layers” that process the input data by adjusting various weights in order to make the output correspond closely to what is being predicted. [...] The mysterious part is not the fancy words, but that no one truly understands how the pattern recognition inside those hidden layers works. That’s why they’re called 'hidden'. They are an inscrutable black box - which is okay if you believe that computers are smarter than humans, but troubling otherwise." (Gary Smith & Jay Cordes, "The 9 Pitfalls of Data Science", 2019)

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