Showing posts with label descriptions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label descriptions. Show all posts

08 November 2016

🔭Data Science: Descriptions (Just the Quotes)

"A fundamental value in the scientific outlook is concern with the best available map of reality. The scientist will always seek a description of events which enables him to predict most by assuming least. He thus already prefers a particular form of behavior. If moralities are systems of preferences, here is at least one point at which science cannot be said to be completely without preferences. Science prefers good maps." (Anatol Rapoport, "Science and the goals of man: a study in semantic orientation", 1950)

"A model is a qualitative or quantitative representation of a process or endeavor that shows the effects of those factors which are significant for the purposes being considered. A model may be pictorial, descriptive, qualitative, or generally approximate in nature; or it may be mathematical and quantitative in nature and reasonably precise. It is important that effective means for modeling be understood such as analog, stochastic, procedural, scheduling, flow chart, schematic, and block diagrams." (Harold Chestnut, "Systems Engineering Tools", 1965)

"The problem with time-series is that the simple passage of time is not a good explanatory variable: descriptive chronology is not causal explanation. There are occasional exceptions, especially when there is a clear mechanism that drives the Y-variable." (Edward R Tufte, "The Visual Display of Quantitative Information", 1983)

"A good description of the data summarizes the systematic variation and leaves residuals that look structureless. That is, the residuals exhibit no patterns and have no exceptionally large values, or outliers. Any structure present in the residuals indicates an inadequate fit. Looking at the residuals laid out in an overlay helps to spot patterns and outliers and to associate them with their source in the data." (Christopher H Schrnid, "Value Splitting: Taking the Data Apart", 1991)

"Fitting data means finding mathematical descriptions of structure in the data. An additive shift is a structural property of univariate data in which distributions differ only in location and not in spread or shape. […] The process of identifying a structure in data and then fitting the structure to produce residuals that have the same distribution lies at the heart of statistical analysis. Such homogeneous residuals can be pooled, which increases the power of the description of the variation in the data." (William S Cleveland, "Visualizing Data", 1993)

"Many good things happen when data distributions are well approximated by the normal. First, the question of whether the shifts among the distributions are additive becomes the question of whether the distributions have the same standard deviation; if so, the shifts are additive. […] A second good happening is that methods of fitting and methods of probabilistic inference, to be taken up shortly, are typically simple and on well understood ground. […] A third good thing is that the description of the data distribution is more parsimonious." (William S Cleveland, "Visualizing Data", 1993)

"Design is a goal-oriented, problem-solving activity that typically takes many iterations - teams rarely come up with the 'optimal' design the first time around. [...] With each model, improvements were made to the original design such that the minivans of today are much improved compared to the initial product. The key activity in the design process is the development and testing of a descriptive model of the finished product before the product is finally manufactured or constructed." (Dennis K Lieu & Sheryl Sorby, "Visualization, Modeling, and Graphics for Engineering Design", 2009)

"A statistical index has all the potential pitfalls of any descriptive statistic - plus the distortions introduced by combining multiple indicators into a single number. By definition, any index is going to be sensitive to how it is constructed; it will be affected both by what measures go into the index and by how each of those measures is weighted." (Charles Wheelan, "Naked Statistics: Stripping the Dread from the Data", 2012)

"In order to be effective a descriptive statistic has to make sense - it has to distill some essential characteristic of the data into a value that is both appropriate and understandable. […] the justification for computing any given statistic must come from the nature of the data themselves - it cannot come from the arithmetic, nor can it come from the statistic. If the data are a meaningless collection of values, then the summary statistics will also be meaningless - no arithmetic operation can magically create meaning out of nonsense. Therefore, the meaning of any statistic has to come from the context for the data, while the appropriateness of any statistic will depend upon the use we intend to make of that statistic." (Donald J Wheeler, "Myths About Data Analysis", International Lean & Six Sigma Conference, 2012)

"Once these different measures of performance are consolidated into a single number, that statistic can be used to make comparisons […] The advantage of any index is that it consolidates lots of complex information into a single number. We can then rank things that otherwise defy simple comparison […] Any index is highly sensitive to the descriptive statistics that are cobbled together to build it, and to the weight given to each of those components. As a result, indices range from useful but imperfect tools to complete charades." (Charles Wheelan, "Naked Statistics: Stripping the Dread from the Data", 2012)

"The correlation coefficient has two fabulously attractive characteristics. First, for math reasons that have been relegated to the appendix, it is a single number ranging from –1 to 1. A correlation of 1, often described as perfect correlation, means that every change in one variable is associated with an equivalent change in the other variable in the same direction. A correlation of –1, or perfect negative correlation, means that every change in one variable is associated with an equivalent change in the other variable in the opposite direction. The closer the correlation is to 1 or –1, the stronger the association. […] The second attractive feature of the correlation coefficient is that it has no units attached to it. […] The correlation coefficient does a seemingly miraculous thing: It collapses a complex mess of data measured in different units" (like our scatter plots of height and weight) into a single, elegant descriptive statistic." (Charles Wheelan, "Naked Statistics: Stripping the Dread from the Data", 2012)

"The main advantage of decision tree models is that they are interpretable. It is relatively easy to understand the sequences of tests a decision tree carried out in order to make a prediction. This interpretability is very important in some domains. [...] Decision tree models can be used for datasets that contain both categorical and continuous descriptive features. A real advantage of the decision tree approach is that it has the ability to model the interactions between descriptive features. This arises from the fact that the tests carried out at each node in the tree are performed in the context of the results of the tests on the other descriptive features that were tested at the preceding nodes on the path from the root. Consequently, if there is an interaction effect between two or more descriptive features, a decision tree can model this."  (John D Kelleher et al, "Fundamentals of Machine Learning for Predictive Data Analytics: Algorithms, Worked Examples, and Case Studies", 2015)

"There are two kinds of mistakes that an inappropriate inductive bias can lead to: underfitting and overfitting. Underfitting occurs when the prediction model selected by the algorithm is too simplistic to represent the underlying relationship in the dataset between the descriptive features and the target feature. Overfitting, by contrast, occurs when the prediction model selected by the algorithm is so complex that the model fits to the dataset too closely and becomes sensitive to noise in the data."(John D Kelleher et al, "Fundamentals of Machine Learning for Predictive Data Analytics: Algorithms, Worked Examples, and Case Studies", 2015)

"Description is all about characterizing an observation by the associated data elements, and thereby deriving a specification for an observation. For example, an outlier can be described by its characteristic values and, if available, its spatio-temporal context. A proper description may serve as a basis for configuring further analysis steps. In particular, a description allows for sharing first insights with other people, who can later be involved in verifying the analysis results." (Christian Tominski & Heidrun Schumann, "Interactive Visual Data Analysis", 2019)

"I believe that the backlash against statistics is due to four primary reasons. The first, and easiest for most people to relate to, is that even the most basic concepts of descriptive and inferential statistics can be difficult to grasp and even harder to explain. […] The second cause for vitriol is that even well-intentioned experts misapply the tools and techniques of statistics far too often, myself included. Statistical pitfalls are numerous and tough to avoid. When we can't trust the experts to get it right, there's a temptation to throw the baby out with the bathwater. The third reason behind all the hate is that those with an agenda can easily craft statistics to lie when they communicate with us  […] And finally, the fourth cause is that often statistics can be perceived as cold and detached, and they can fail to communicate the human element of an issue." (Ben Jones, "Avoiding Data Pitfalls: How to Steer Clear of Common Blunders When Working with Data and Presenting Analysis and Visualizations", 2020)

"One main reason descriptive analytics is so prevalent is the lack of data literacy skills that exist in the world. If one thinks about it, if you do not have a good understanding of how to use data, then how are you going to be good at the four levels of analytics?" (Jordan Morrow, "Be Data Literate: The data literacy skills everyone needs to succeed", 2021)

09 November 2011

📉Graphical Representation: Descriptions (Just the Quotes)

"Graphic methods convey to the mind a more comprehensive grasp of essential features than do written reports, because one can naturally gather interesting details from a picture in far less time than from a written description. Further than this, the examination of a picture allows one to make deductions of his own, while in the case of a written description the reader must, to a great degree, accept the conclusions of the author." (Allan C Haskell, "How to Make and Use Graphic Charts", 1919)

"Nothing is so illuminating as a set of properly proportioned diagrams. [...] In addition to the significance of graphics in analytical work, it is likewise a valuable aid to the memory. A picture is manifestly more readily retained in mind than a description of the same subject, no matter how vividly it may have been expressed. A pictorial or diagrammatic illustration usually produces a firmer and more lasting impression than any composition of words or tabulation of figures, however well they may be arranged or set forth." (Allan C Haskell, "How to Make and Use Graphic Charts", 1919)

"Although flow charts are not used to portray or interpret statistical data, they possess definite utility for certain kinds of research and administrative problems. With a well-designed flow chart it is possible to present a large number of facts and relationships simply, clearly, and accurately, without resorting to extensive or involved verbal description." (Anna C Rogers, "Graphic Charts Handbook", 1961)

"It is almost impossible to define 'time-sequence chart' in a clear and unambiguous manner because of the many forms and adaptations open to this type of chart. However. it might be said that, in essence, time-sequence chart portrays a chain of activities through time, indicates the type of activity in each link of the chain, shows clearly the position of the link in the total sequence chain, and indicates the duration of each activity. The time sequence chart may also contain verbal elements explaining when to begin an activity, how long to continue the activity, and a description of the activity. The chart may also indicate when to blend a given activity with another and the point at which a given activity is completed. The basic time-sequence chart may also be accompanied by verbal explanations and by secondary or contributory charts." (Cecil H Meyers, "Handbook of Basic Graphs: A modern approach", 1970)

"Graphic charts are ways of presenting quantitative as well as qualitative information in an efficient and effective visual form. Numbers and ideas presented graphically are often more easily understood. remembered. and integrated than when they are presented in narrative or tabular form. Descriptions. trends. relationships, and comparisons can be made more apparent. Less time is required to present and comprehend information when graphic methods are employed. As the old truism states, 'One picture is worth a thousand words.'" (Robert Lefferts, "Elements of Graphics: How to prepare charts and graphs for effective reports", 1981)

"Graphical methodology provides powerful diagnostic tools for conveying properties of the fitted regression, for assessing the adequacy of the fit, and for suggesting improvements. There is seldom any prior guarantee that a hypothesized regression model will provide a good description of the mechanism that generated the data. Standard regression models carry with them many specific assumptions about the relationship between the response and explanatory variables and about the variation in the response that is not accounted for by the explanatory variables. In many applications of regression there is a substantial amount of prior knowledge that makes the assumptions plausible; in many other applications the assumptions are made as a starting point simply to get the analysis off the ground. But whatever the amount of prior knowledge, fitting regression equations is not complete until the assumptions have been examined." (John M Chambers et al, "Graphical Methods for Data Analysis", 1983)

"Data visualizations are designed to emphasize patterns and deviations in data. In fact, each specific chart type is well suited to highlighting particular forms of insight. A skilled author of data products will choose the right visualization to emphasize a message. The data, chart, and supporting descriptions should work in harmony to point out what is interesting. The reader simply goes along for the ride." (Zach Gemignani et al, "Data Fluency", 2014)

"After all, we do agree that statistical data analysis is concerned with generating and evaluating hypotheses about data. For us, generating hypotheses means that we are searching for patterns in the data - trying to 'see what the data seem to say'. And evaluating hypotheses means that we are seeking an explanation or at least a simple description of what we find - trying to verify what we believe we see." (Forrest W Young et al, "Visual Statistics: Seeing data with dynamic interactive graphics", 2016)

"Active titles don't make us biased, but descriptive titles do waste an opportunity to make a clear, compelling case. Of course, short, active titles aren't always possible - you may be making more than one point or your sole goal is to simply describe the data. Generally speaking, however, integrating your graphs as part of your argument creates a more cohesive approach to making your argument and telling your story." (Jonathan Schwabish, "Better Data Visualizations: A guide for scholars, researchers, and wonks", 2021)

"Graphs can help us interpret data and draw inferences. They can help us see tendencies, patterns, trends, and relationships. A picture can be worth not only a thousand words, but a thousand numbers. However, a graph is essentially descriptive - a picture meant to tell a story. As with any story, bumblers may mangle the punch line and the dishonest may lie." (Gary Smith, "Standard Deviations", 2014)

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